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Rethinking Growth in Credit Markets

Rethinking Growth in Credit Markets

March 24, 2026 5 min read Financials
#Finance, Compliance, Credit, Credit Growth
Rethinking Growth in Credit Markets

Q1. Could you start by giving us a brief overview of your professional background, particularly focusing on your expertise in the industry?


I started my professional career in finance, risk & governance at the RBI & then shifted to HDFC Bank Group companies. During the 34 years of my journey, I have excelled in the areas mentioned.

 


Q2. What regulatory shift over the last two years has most materially changed how financial institutions make growth decisions, and why has it become decisive now?


Over the last couple of years, there has been a paradigm shift in regulatory approach from direct supervision to off-site monitoring through online regulatory returns & off-site oversight of regulated entities. The shift in regulatory approach has been necessitated due to the paucity of appropriate and skilled resources.  

 


Q3. In which specific parts of the credit lifecycle does technology meaningfully improve risk control or cost efficiency, and where does it fail to generate measurable returns?


Technology plays a decisive role throughout the credit life cycle. However, it does not affect the entire credit lifecycle equally. It creates disproportionate value in some stages, while remaining neutral in others. Technology is embedded in a strong risk governance framework. The following are the basic credit lifecycle stages where technology, particularly Gen AI, has a definite role to play:   
1. KYC & Onboarding
2. Lead Generation & Customer Acquisition
3.  Credit Underwriting & Risk Assessment
4.  Disbursement & Documentation
5.  Portfolio Monitoring & Early Warning
6.  Collections & Recovery
7.  Collections & Recovery

 


Q4. Where do ESG, fair-lending, or conduct requirements meaningfully constrain pricing, product design, or growth velocity, and how do leading institutions manage that trade-off?


It is not appropriate to state that ESG, fair-lending, or conduct requirements meaningfully constrain pricing, product design, or growth velocity; they are the basis requirements of credit culture & compliance. There is no denying that compliance with these aspects increases the cost of credits; nevertheless, these are cardinal compliance requirements, such as the observance of the fair practices code in credit management, which is a statutory requirement. The trade-off can be managed with the application of technology & AI; however, it is easier said than done.  

 


Q5. Which borrower segment or geographic expansion looks attractive in portfolio data but proves hardest to scale sustainably once compliance, conduct, and operational realities are factored in?


It is difficult to specify a particular borrower segment and geographic expansion; rather, several borrower segments and geographic expansions look attractive, as shown by empirical studies & statistical observations. It sometimes becomes hardest to scale once compliance intensity, conduct risk, and operational friction are factored in.  Naming a few- Self-Employed Micro & Informal Segment, Digital-Only Unsecured Personal Loans, MSME Supply-Chain Lending, etc.
Further, hard compliance sustainability is primarily encountered in compliance intensity, reputation risk & operational reality.

 


Q6. What opportunity is currently underappreciated because institutions overestimate compliance complexity?


For most credit institutions/lenders, the crux of the problem does not lie in regulation; it lies in regulatory friction emanating from boards and risk teams that often misconceive compliance complexity relative to actual supervisory intent.  

 


Q7. If you were an investor looking at companies within the space, what critical question would you pose to their senior management?


Pragmatic entities evaluating investment opportunities in lending and fintech space, the evaluating components do not end with CAGR, top-line, bottom-line, net interest margin & risk-adjusted rate of return (RAROC), ROE, ROI, etc., but other relevant questions are:
1. Efficiency of the credit underwriting model
2. Robustness of credit scoring & pricing model
3. Applicability of stress testing & scenario analysis
4. Fraud risk
5. Customer data privacy control
6. Whether management truly understands portfolio fragility?
7. Entity's risk appetite scale
8. Collection efficiency
9. Application of the Expected Credit Loss (ECL) model, related PD, LGD & EAD
10. Behavior during macro shocks


 


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